College Football, Florida Gators

Mullen holding on by a thread after embarrassing loss to Georgia

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When I think about Florida’s 34-7 loss to Georgia, one play jumps to mind immediately and it’s probably not the one you’re thinking of.

You might think the one that jumps to mind is Anthony Richardson’s fumble, where had he been able to go down Florida would have – at minimum – run out the clock to end the half. You might think that it’s either of the interceptions that followed, as those led to Georgia basically putting the game away in the blink of an eye.

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But those aren’t the ones that jump out to me. This one is.

That’s about the worst onsides kick attempt you’ll ever see. It goes 15 yards and just bounces out of bounds. Even if it checked up, it was right at a Georgia player to recover before Florida could get down the field. Mullen even had a wry smile on his face as he was talking to his kicker afterwards, one of those “what in the hell was that” smiles that you give your 3-year old when he comes downstairs with his pants on backwards.

It’s not that the onsides kick had anything to do with the outcome of the game. It was already well in hand at that point. But the execution of the kick indicates the real problem with this team: the small details are constantly overlooked.

That’s how you end up with two missed field goals and a fourth-and-13 attempt that only happens because you have no faith in your kicker (full disclosure, I liked going for it there). That’s how you end up with false starts killing drives when the first down was well in hand. And that’s how you end up handing Georgia the game at the end of the first half with a cadre of turnovers.

This loss to Georgia won’t define this season. That already happened with the games dropped to Alabama, Kentucky and LSU. We all knew that winning this game was a long shot.

But it may end up defining Dan Mullen’s tenure at Florida.

Getting embarrassed by your rival – and the team you have to beat to get where you want to go – is something that’s going to be hard for Gators fans to swallow. Lose, sure. But getting embarrassed isn’t going to win Dan Mullen any confidence that he has a plan to compete consistently with Kirby Smart.

Because Georgia had a down year – and bad QB play – in 2020 and went 8-2 against an all-SEC schedule. Florida is now 2-4 in the conference with, quite honestly, better QB play than Georgia had last season. That means what we’ve suspected all along; that Florida is going to have to get elite QB play to take down the Bulldogs.

And despite the flashes Anthony Richardson has shown in 2021, we also just saw that he has a significant ways to go to hit that mark.

That means that while Dan Mullen can talk about asking his players to “hold on to the rope,” the rope that Mullen is speaking of may be wearing down to the threads.

It’s not just Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson didn’t play well at all, but the rest of his team didn’t help him much.

We had heard coming into the game that he and Emory Jones were sharing snaps evenly. Mullen reiterated that was the case in his post-game press conference. That’s just ridiculous.

If you’re going to give a player his first start against this defense, he needs to be getting the bulk of the reps. Is it any wonder that Richardson looked shaky when you hadn’t even given him the best chance to be successful during the last two weeks of preparation?

Mullen didn’t think he was ready. He hedged and made sure to get Jones plenty of practice reps so he’d be ready if needed. And that hedge meant he had an ill-prepared QB making his first start against the best defense in the country.

But it wasn’t just Mullen. With the game still 3-0, Richardson converted a fourth-and-2 to get Florida to the Georgia 31. This was the next play.

Mullen tried to call a shot here. I think it was going to be open. But Jean Delance (#56), Stewart Reese (#51) and Kingsley Eguakun (#65) weren’t able to hold up against the stunt run by linebacker Nolan Smith (#4) and defensive tackle Jalen Carter (#88).

This is only a 4-man rush. The Gators had a 3-on-2 advantage and neither Reese nor Eguakun even touched Carter. The line has to give Richardson time here to get the throw off. With more experience, maybe he throws this away as he drifts out of the pocket, but he was waiting for his receiver to come open and just didn’t have time.

The next play was the ridiculous double-pass on second-and-20 that had no shot at succeeding followed by a Nay’Quan Wright run on an option that led to the fourth-and-13 attempt that went awry.

But the thing you might have forgotten is that just prior to the Wright run, Richard Gouraige had a false start to push the Gators back another five yards. I think Mullen tries the field goal if they’re at fourth-and-8 from the UGA 29 (a 46-yard attempt).

It wasn’t just that drive. On the opening drive of the second half, Richardson hit an 8-yard run to make it third-and-1. He was about to convert on a QB power when Josh Braun committed a false start penalty. The next play was a completion 2-yards shy of the first down and Florida punted the ball back to Georgia.

Richardson isn’t without blame here. You can’t turn the ball over three times and he made plenty of rookie mistakes. This play is one of them that he’ll learn from.

This is a zone blitz called by Georgia. This is a really difficult coverage for a young QB to read (in fact, Emory Jones got tricked by it later in the game but the defender dropped it). Georgia defensive lineman Travon Walker (#44, highlighted) drops back into coverage while linebacker Nakobe Dean (#17) comes on a blitz.

If you were watching the telecast, you saw Richardson get excoriated by Mullen earlier in the game when the blitz came and he improvised rather than throwing in the direction of the blitz (color man Gary Danielson pointed it out at the time). Well, this time Richardson throws right where Dean had vacated to Xzavier Henderson coming over the middle. But he completely missed Walker dropping into that lane and the ball is tipped and intercepted.

If you want to sum up the Florida offense though, I think it’s best done through three plays.

Those are the three plays that Florida ran after Georgia turned the ball over. Perhaps you could understand the conservative nature of those play calls because two of them came deep in Gators territory.

But they decided to run the ball with Pierce after the fumble to open the second half rather than take a deep shot with the ball in Bulldog territory.

Compare that to what Georgia did when it got a Gators turnover near mid-field.

I’m not sure what Florida’s defense was doing on this play. Both Trey Dean (#0) and Tre’Vez Johnson (#16) come up to help with the run even though Dean and Rashad Torrence (#22) are back in a cover-2 look to start the play. That leaves three defensive backs to cover three receivers and gives Kearis Jackson (#10) a running start at Torrence.

Not only is this an aggressive play call by Georgia, but it was able to catch Florida cheating up against the run. In my preview, I was a big proponent of playing man-to-man and making Georgia beat you over the top. But I meant press man-to-man, not giving the receiver a 20-yard free release.

No matter what this route was, Jackson was going to be open. There’s just no way for Torrence to be able to guard this well. The only way Florida could have stopped it was if they were bringing pressure, but they didn’t do that either as they played a zone underneath and only rushed four.

It is absolutely true that the defense played pretty well against Georgia. But when Florida needed stops after the turnovers, it wasn’t able to get the job done.

They were undoubtedly put into tough situations. But this is the second straight game where the offense has turned the ball over twice and both have been converted to touchdowns. Sometimes your offense is going to put you in bad positions. You have to be able to force field goals and keep it 9-0 or 13-0 instead of 17-0.

The pick-6 to make it 24-0 was the final nail in the coffin, but the game was over the minute Bennett hit Jackson to make the lead 17. And to have a defense unprepared for that deep shot just speaks to the inconsistencies that have plagued this team all year long.

Takeaway

I’m not sure any of us expected Florida to win this game. Georgia is the number one team in the country for a reason, and Florida is unranked for a reason as well.

But I think we all expected the Gators to put up a better fight. You could say that they did until the three turnovers to end the half, but you could also say that all of the fight ended the minute the first turnover occurred.

Dan Mullen can talk all he wants about “holding onto the rope” as he did during his postgame press conference, but he needs to take a good look in the mirror after this one.

Because holding the rope means playing the guys who give the team the best chance to win, and giving those players the full starter’s reps in practice. It means either recruiting or developing a kicker who can make a field goal often enough that you’re not forced to go for it on fourth-and-13. It means taking shots after you get turnovers, even if you’re deep in your own territory.

And it sure as hell means going for it on fourth-and-5 from Georgia’s 6-yard line halfway through the third quarter when you’re down by 24. Yes, Jace Christmann missed a 23-yard field goal, but Mullen essentially threw in the towel right there when he had a chance to at least make Georgia sweat a little bit.

I think Georgia is an excellent team, maybe even a national championship team. And I think people (finally) asking hard questions about recruiting are right to do so. Florida does have less talent than Georgia and you should expect the Bulldogs to be a formidable opponent because of that. After all, the Bulldogs are ranked second in the country in total talent according to the 247Sports roster rankings.

But Florida is ranked 7th.

But what did the Gators get in this game from Justin Shorter? What did they get from Brenton Cox? What did they get from Demarkcus Bowman, Lorenzo Lingard, Gervon Dexter or Jason Marshall?

Many of those guys played, but none of them made a huge difference and they are Florida’s 5-star guys. If you’re going to lean on sub-elite recruiting and player development, your 5-star guys have to develop into stars.

Compare that to Georgia. Nolan Smith, Zamir White, Jalen Carter, Nakobe Dean, Travon Walker, and Darnell Washington (all 5-stars) all played significant roles in this game. Carter got the sack that pushed Florida out of field goal range. Walker got the tip that caused Richardson’s first interception. Dean got the pick-6 that essentially ended the game.

Yes, Georgia has more talent than Florida. But if you’re going to build a program on the idea that you can develop talent better than the other guys, you have to actually do it better, and significantly so.

I wrote an article last week defending Dan Mullen and saying that he deserved a chance to see what he can do with a full season of Anthony Richardson at QB and the roster that he’s built. But performances like this make it much more difficult to stand behind that assessment.

I’m a big believer in process over results. If Mullen was recruiting at a high level, developing his players at an elite level and had his QBs ready to play along with some schematic wrinkles to punish Georgia’s aggressiveness, you could give him a pass for his 2-8 record against LSU, Alabama and Georgia.

Instead, I’m just left hoping he can turn it around, without much historical or statistical reason to believe he can do so. So I’m left depressed at this game, this season and the state of the program.

The Gator Standard means SEC and National Championships. We’ve never felt further away from that than right now.

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21 Comments

  1. “I’m a big believer in process over results. If Mullen was recruiting at a high level, developing his players at an elite level and had his QBs ready to play along with some schematic wrinkles to punish Georgia’s aggressiveness, you could give him a pass for his 2-8 record against LSU, Alabama and Georgia.”

    When has this ever been the case in Mullen’s HC career? He’s getting worse now because his heart is not in it. If he doesn’t already hate Florida, he will in the next couple of weeks. When are you going to quit waffling and call for his firing?

  2. Terry

    I felt farther away with McElwaun even when we were winning. At least I have hope a new DC can make a big difference. Mullen is still an excellent offensive mind. But I hear ya, bc he sure didn’t look like it against GA.

    • Mark

      Agreed with this 100%. It is sad that Mullen has put himself in this position with his own stubbornness, but he COULD turn it around with some small changes whereas Mac never could have been successful here.

  3. I have saw this coming for last few years with the way that Dan and his boys recruit. Dan talks about picking his own recruits. Well that is not working. I hear about the recruiting office being unorganized. It seems to be the MSU recruiting model. Dan it is not working. You are making 7 million a year. Dan has coaches that dont recruit or are very poor recruiters. Why are they still on the staff I’m frustrated.

  4. That game felt bad. Even when it was close, I could almost taste the desperation. Georgia seemed comfortable and biding it’s time. I was a supporter of Mullen’s hiring and I have defended him since the LSU game last year, but I am worried he just seems to have lost his fire. I can’t understand the conservative play calling. I’m questioning some of his decisions (like giving a freshman QB his first start against the best defense in the country, maybe ever). A part of the problem this year is bad luck combined with subpar defense (usually if your offense scores 30 and loses, the defense is the problem), but that’s not all of it. I’m willing to give him next year given his previous success, but I’m concerned.

  5. MEL TUCKER TRAIN 2022! CHOO! CHOO!

    Dan has lost “it”. Getting blown out by Georgia is embarrassing, but Georgia is the #1 team for a reason: Kirby’s recruiting.

    Florida needs a powerhouse recruiter, remember Urban? Florida needs someone who can turn things around fast, remember Urban?

    But Urban ain’t coming back. Is there another powerhouse recruiter who can turn things around fast?

    YES!!!!!

    Mel Tucker learned directly under Kirby how to build a championship program. Mel Tucker turned Colorado around in 1 year, and has Michigan State (which was a dumpster fire when D’Antoni left) 8-0, with a victory over a top 10, 7-0 rival. Mel Tucker has answers. Mel Tucker to Gainesville 2022.

    ALL ABOUT THE MEL TUCKER TRAIN! CHOO! CHOO!

    Mel Tucker to Gainesville!

    Mel Tucker 2022

  6. Will, I agree with your assessment. It is obvious that Mullen needs to make changes such as an increased effort, budget, and emphasis on recruiting. I would think Grantham’s contract won’t be renewed and that’s a start in the right direction. Bottom line is Florida needs a winning streak ending with a win against FSU. If Mullen manages to do that and shows up in the bowl game, then at least one more year is warranted. If not then termination would be my recommendation.

  7. Roland

    Folks are not giving credit to the level of talent and play the Georgia defense is. Back out the two minute nightmare AR15 had at the end of the first half and I think the Gators played a respectable game. Mullen’s recruiting is now suffering from an unhappy fan base and every team in nation focusing in illuminating “problems” at Florida as everyone recruits the state.
    The fickle fan base got AR15 in the starting roll as Mullen bent to the pressure. The fickle now wonder what would have happened if Emory Jones had been the starter. The fickle fan base still has no clue as to how football nation sews doubt about the Gators knowing repeating negative comments heard from the fan base weighs on recruits and helps their recruiting the elite talent in the state.
    Anyone notice Kirby criticizing Florida recruiting in his post game comments. Think a lot of recruits get the phone call this week to remind commits why to avoid Florida?

    • Roland

      Do folks realize DM is not allowed to go on the road to recruit because of an NCAA violation? Kirby did when he made his point. 100% sure the other colleges recruiting the state are playing the same game with recruits.

      • Mullen Failed

        So we should give Mullen a pass for not recruiting because he got recruiting violations while also producing less than stellar recruiting classes?

        Okay.

      • “It’s Not Recruiting Season”

        So Dan deserves a pass for getting a show cause penalty? The first penalty for Florida since the 1980s?

        Even Urban did not get us on probation. And he could actually recruit!

  8. Ash A

    There is no turning this ship around in time. Any changes are going to be too little too late. We don’t have the talent to compete for championships and this is sealed for at least 2-3 years, judging by our abysmal 2022 class that is outside of the top 20 now.

  9. Kathryn

    I disagree with part of what you said. I believe that going for it on 4th and 13 instead of trying a field goal is what lost the game. It reeked of desperation and showed his players that he didn’t trust them to win the game. Specifically, it showed the defense that he didn’t trust the defense to hold Georgia, that they needed a miracle to win. If it was forth and short, that would have been different. Also, he didn’t give his kicker a chance to redeem himself. He basically told his kicker that he wasn’t trustworthy. I was screaming at the time at Mullen, but Mullen didn’t listen. After that one play, it was over. The Gators quickly caved, the house of cards collapsed.

    Second point, Special Teams destroyed this year. Think back on all the losses. Alabama and Kentucky are great examples. It was Special Teams. And the coaching is horrible. They put players on the field that didn’t understand the rules. It was a disaster. Remember how Urban’s Special Teams saved the day, remember the block of the South Carolina field goal, and how the player who blocked the kick refused to come out of the game, guaranteeing Urban a blocked field goal. Urban took Special Teams seriously, Mullen doesn’t.

    We’ll be lucky if Mullen leaves. Mullen has lost the fire to be a Gator, the fire he had when he landed in Gainesville. Did Mullen think he could win it all in one year? The previous coach left him some really good players, all ultimately squandered. The big problem is, the next coach has to be the right coach. And no one is sure who that is.

  10. Lane Train 2022 CHOO! CHOO!

    34-7

    Not as bad as I thought.

    Not as good as Lane Kiffin can do.

    ALL ABOARD THE LANE TRAIN! CHOO! CHOO!

    Kiffin to LANEsville 2022!

    Lane kiffin 2022

  11. If as a university we cared about the sport he would have been fired last year. But, of course, we don’t and, consequently, we will still be reading articles like this after the next Georgia game. And LSU. And (next year) A&M. Etc, etc, etc…..

  12. GatorKen

    If it’s all about recruiting why should I pay for season tickets. I am not cracking open a beer and chips to cheer for a bunch 17 year old dip wad high school kids to choose Florida over a crap school like Georgia. To root for recruiting is rooting for the best liar.

  13. Lane Train 2022 CHOO! CHOO!

    Only Disney Gators believe that Dan Mullen is worth holding onto at this point. It’s clear to all objective fans that Dan Mullen is the problem with the Gators. Todd Grantham is just a symptom of this problem. If Mullen had built a culture of accountability and results, Grantham would’ve been sent packing before the pandemic hit. Mullen intentionally does just enough to not get fired but has no desire to win at the highest level.

    Ken Smithmier, a judgement expert with P3 Insights who provides advice to the likes of Saban and other coaches and administrators throughout college football, said this about Dan Mullen:

    “ Mullen’s profile is one that I run into a lot in successful executives. I describe it this way, there are people who are successful in spite of themselves and there are people who are successful because of themselves. Those who are successful in spite of themselves have success that is limited. I think Dan is a guy who’s success is going to always be in spite of himself. He thinks he is the smartest guy in the room. If he were an athlete, I think we would say he is a guy that does not take coaching well because when you think you are the smartest guy in the room, you don’t think you need that coaching. I personally would be surprised if he were to ever win a national championship.”

    You know who Mr, Smithmeir thinks has the ability to be the next Nick Saban??

    Thaaaaats riiiight LANE KIFFIN!!!!

    ALL ABOARD THE LANE TRAIN! CHOO! CHOO!

    Bring Kiffin to LANEsville!

    Lane Kiffin 2022

  14. Dan Is Out if Touch and Over His head in Gainesville

    Dan is a good OC, but his recruiting and program building skills are not even G5 level. He runs the program like it’s a high school squad in the northeast (where he’s from). Even HS squads in Florida, Texas, and Georgia are run more professionally than how Dan runs the Gators from a CEO aspect. His recruiting is somehow worse than MacElwain, and his staff hires are abysmal. Read the new article in the Athletic to see how the program is perceived by rival SEC coaches. Dan can’t even be a successful NFL coach, even though it would remove recruiting from his to-do list, because he encourages nepotism and hires, retains, and gives raises to underperforming assistant coaches because they’re his buddies. That won’t fly in the NFL. Dan should look into becoming an OC in the NFL or become a G5 coach or a lower level P5 school like Washington State or Texas Tech. I’d say he should look at going back to Miss State, but Mike Leach is already doing a much better job there in 2 years than he did in 9 years. Not a good HC at all.

  15. “Recruiting Season”

    In today’s presser, Mullen just said he didn’t want to talk about recruiting because it is “football” season and not “recruiting” season. Well, this team is 4-4 now, so what exactly, if you’re not recruiting, are you being paid $7.6 million this year to do during “football” season, Dan?

  16. Ed Herm

    Dan mullen very inconsistent! Lets get started. Lost 2 years in roll to a lsu team who just fired thier coach beause of their 2 last seasons. Orgeron won a championship. What has dan mullen won!! Losing kentucky twice in 4 years ending a streak. Almost getting shutout by georgia. Not only that georgia scored 3 touchdowns 3 minutes left in the first half. The game was over in the last 3 minutes bc before those 3 touchdowns. Florida was losing 3 nothing, beacuse of dan mullen getting out coached. Rest my case

  17. Gators should seriously consider

    Chip Kelly.

    He may not be at UCLA for much longer and would be a clear upgrade from Mullen.

    Just sayin’